DOES COMBAT DEPLOYMENT EXPERIENCE AFFECT THE COMMANDER’S DECISION-MAKING PROCESS?

Authors

  • Vladimir Statev Department of Military Sciences, Vasil Levski National Military University (BG)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17770/etr2024vol4.8196

Keywords:

deployment, evaluation, experience, mission variables

Abstract

The paper presents the results of a study conducted in 2022. An attempt is made to determine whether commanders' perceptions of the importance of the mission's variables change as a result of gaining combat deployment experience. A critical assessment of the mission variables is the focus of the research, which examines the importance of these variables according to the tactical commanders who plan the operations. The methods used are expert judgment elicitation and statistical analysis. The results show that combat deployment experience appears to have only a minor impact on commanders' decision-making process. The ranking list developed using the input of the experts' group, which includes officers with combat experience, may serve as a basis for improving existing models for assessing the mission variables. In order to expand the collection of research data and increase the significance of the findings, the methodology used in the study could be applied to other expert groups outside the Bulgarian armed forces.


Supporting Agencies
This paper is supported by the National Science Program Security and Defense, approved by decision No. 171/21.10.2021 of the Council of Ministers of the Republic of Bulgaria.

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References

R. Marinov, “Dynamics in the theory and practice of the strategic management”, International conference on High Technology for Sustainable Development HiTECH 2018, June 2018, Sofia, Bulgaria, ISBN: 978-1-5386-7039-2, pp 11-14.

D. Totev, “Priori ranking of evaluation criteria for the capabilities of military advisory teams and mission essential tasks for their pre-deployment training” in Collection of works "Days of Science 2014”, Union of Scientists in Bulgaria - Veliko Tarnovo branch, 2014, pp. 120-132.

W. P. Aspinall and R. M. Cooke, “Quantifying scientific uncertainty from expert judgement elicitation,” in Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards. Cambridge University Press, 2013, pp. 64-99.

R. Landis and G. Koch, “The Measurement of Observer Agreement for Categorical Data” in Biometrics, Vol. 33, No. 1, International Biometric Society, 1977, pp. 159-174.

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Published

2024-06-22

How to Cite

[1]
V. Statev, “DOES COMBAT DEPLOYMENT EXPERIENCE AFFECT THE COMMANDER’S DECISION-MAKING PROCESS?”, ETR, vol. 4, pp. 251–254, Jun. 2024, doi: 10.17770/etr2024vol4.8196.